Category Archives: CNBC

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CNBC Reverse Indicator Proves Accurate for Recent Bitcoin Crash

There’s a joke going around on Reddit’s r/bitcoin that CNBC’s Bitcoin price predictions are actually the exact opposite of what will happen. This is called the CNBC Reverse Indicator, which actually proved extremely accurate this past week.

Bitcoin rallied from USD 5,800 in the middle of August 2018 to as high as USD 7,500 in early September, and CNBC issued a forecast on 28 August that USD 8,000 was probably next. The market went in the complete opposite direction a few days later, crashing to USD 6,300, which was CNBC’s stop-loss level.

Bitcoin breaking back above $7K today and @Bob_Iaccino says $8K could be next pic.twitter.com/lZQu1V2dzd

— CNBC Futures Now (@CNBCFuturesNow) August 28, 2018

Jokes were abundant on Reddit following this verification of the CNBC Reverse Indicator. CashCoinsCrypto says, “the prophecy was fulfilled”. Chieres wrote, “So all I need to do is to follow CNBC and always do the opposite?” In response, badinsie says, “Yup, you’ll win 95% of the time”. Utoko added, “About 3 weeks ago they had a guy on there who said [Bitcoin] will go close to zero”; in response Fuadiansyah says, “So we need that guy to present every day at CNBC”.

Is there anything real to the CNBC Reverse Indicator? Redditors will be keen to point out that CNBC simply doesn’t have true crypto expertise and is wrong most of the time since they are used to typical asset classes, which differ distinctly from crypto. Others speculate jokingly that the program is deliberately issuing forecasts that are the opposite of reality to manipulate the markets in their favor.

In reality, no study has been done to see if the CNBC Reverse Indicator is accurate, which would be necessary before anyone starts making trading decisions that are the opposite of everything CNBC says.

Assuming the CNBC Reverse Indicator is legitimate, what should Bitcoin traders do next? CNBC’s latest prediction is for Bitcoin to rise to USD 7,250, with USD 6,450 being a good buying level. Therefore, if the CNBC Reverse Indicator is accurate it’s time to sell since Bitcoin will be crashing some more.

#Bitcoin getting crushed again. Here’s how @BrianStutland is trading the #crypto pic.twitter.com/BgTCXsAOLZ

— CNBC Futures Now (@CNBCFuturesNow) September 6, 2018

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Blockchain Reality Show BlockBattle Premiers October on South Korean TV

It looks like TV might be the next medium for cryptocurrencies through BlockBattle, a South Korean show planned by Asia Economy TV, using blockchain as its theme.

A team game called ‘BlockBattle — Who’s the Next Satoshi’ is due to air on the station on 19 October featuring blockchain development teams facing off against each other with the aim to become the next big thing in blockchain. Blockbattle will also be streamed live via YouTube on the Coincast channel.

The game show consists of five episodes open to worthy applicants who will be guided through the process and aided by international experts in technology, business, law, marketing, and finance. The producers explained:

“After the screening, ten projects will qualify for the finals. They will go through a series of presentations, one-on-one battles, and other team competitions.”

Judges will consist of representatives from two major local universities, the Korean Blockchain Industry Association, Open Blockchain Association, and the Korea Blockchain Association, plus prominent individuals from the industry.

Although BlockBattle is a fresh approach to marketing and disseminating cryptocurrency technology, it isn’t the first TV outing for the space. Another new show, Japan’s ‘Bitgirls’, has already hit the air on Tokyo MXTV, allowing cryptocurrencies to be used for voting. A long-running show from Sony Pictures, ‘Startup’ is due for a third season while CNBC launches the documentary ‘Bitcoin: Boom or Bust’ tonight. Other crypto-based programs are either in production or being considered.

There are some commentators who feel that blockchain could have a major impact on television in the future in terms of how a decentralized model could give users total authority over viewing choices. Alan Bridgewater of Techwire Asia sees blockchain TV as a way of breaking the current monopoly of viewing distribution sources such as Netflix and Amazon. He argues:

“Crucially, television services on blockchain foundations could represent a fundamentally decentralized model where a degree of peer-to-peer network connection exists with no central authority. That scenario is rather further than even the keenest blockchain TV proponents are suggesting, but it is an extreme aspect worth appreciating.”

 

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Brian Kelly: One Last Hurdle for Bitcoin Rally

CNBC Fast Money’s bitcoin bull Brian Kelly sees a Bitcoin rally as just one hurdle away: ETF approval. Although, he does not see this as likely until August 2019.

The Big Hurdle

Getting the first Bitcoin ETF approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has become a competition between those fighting for the trophy, as well as for Kelly, the biggest hurdle in seeing a real Bitcoin bull market emerge. He fears that any delay, rejection, or request to withdraw could postpone any substantial price appreciation.

Kelly noted that last years SEC rejection of the Winklevoss brothers ETF actually became a boost for altcoins. Right now, he recognized, the market is flat for altcoins like Ethereum and Ripple. But, this could be because all the new money is flowing into Bitcoin. While part of this may be accounted for by people spending fiat on Bitcoin to then purchase altcoins, Kelly estimates that it is more likely to be coming from investors counting on an ETF approval.

If the ETF applications are rejected or delayed, he predicts that the alt market could experience a capital influx as some investors leave Bitcoin. Kelly pointed to the year’s overall growth in the cryptocurrency market, which saw the movements of Bitcoin and altcoins tightly correlated, with the former outperforming throughout August.

Be cautious to buy Bitcoin today if you are counting on an imminent ETF approval, he warned investors. As a short-term trader, Kelly said he had just sold off some of his Bitcoin holdings.

ETF: For Retail Traders or Not?

As the hosts queried whether an ETF would benefit retail investors, Kelly noted that VanEck’s USD 200,000 share price was likely to weed out any potential for them, and rather serve institutional players.

The SEC gave prospective providers 31 points needed to be met to receive approval, with one of these being protections for retail investors. It would seem that Vaneck responded to this by raising the costs to such an extent that they are cut out of the market.

One issue that the Fast Money hosts did not think had been addressed yet remains the problem of providing a sufficient custodial service, with Kelly citing this as a significant reason why approval is not imminent.

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Crypto Investor Sues AT&T for $224M After Phone Hack Losses

A cryptocurrency investor in the US has filed a lawsuit against his cell phone service provider AT&T on the grounds of gross security negligence that lead to his personal loss of USD 24 million in crypto.

The plaintiff, California resident Michael Terpin, filed a 69-page complaint with the US District Court in Los Angeles on Wednesday alleging that AT&T not only violated its statutory duties and Privacy Policy commitments but went so far as to willingly cooperate with the phone hacker. Terpin claimed that he was victim to digital identity theft two times in seven months when his digital assets were taken via his cell phone number.

Suspicious circumstances were cited by Terpin regarding the actions of at least one AT&T employee. He alleged that ”insider cooperation with the hacker” took place after a store employee offered out his phone number without verifying the person’s identity or requesting any of his private information. Terpin’s complaint details that his number was then used to break into his cryptocurrency accounts and compares the incident to a hotel providing a thief with a fake ID the key to a room and the safe to steal from the rightful owner.

The legal complaint seeks from AT&T USD 200 million in punitive damage and USD 24 million in compensatory damages.

AT&T responded to the accusations, providing CNBC with a statement reading: “We dispute these allegations and look forward to presenting our case in court.”

Terpin may well have been considered a profitable target by potential thieves due to his work in the cryptocurrency industry. In 2013, he co-founded Bitcoin angel investor group BitAngels, as well as the BitAngels/Dapps Fund.

The cryptocurrency community has recently placed a significant focus on increased security as imperative for increasing adoption levels and seeing market prices recover from a relatively poor performance this year, although in this instance it appears to be only AT&T at fault.

 

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Price Poor Metric to Judge Bitcoin, Says CoinShares

Digital asset management company CoinShare’s chief strategist Meltem Demirors featured on CNBC’s Fast Money on Monday, where she discussed the problematic nature of judging Bitcoin on price alone.

Demirors offered that actual utilization may be a better alternative metric for institutional and retail investors to consider, which she put down as the real struggle right now. Although she said that it is not yet clear when or how Bitcoin may regain its value, the best way to predict this is by determining solid metrics that best fit Bitcoin.

The strategist noted that ”real traction” is imminent but a lot is relying on analysis to find the key metrics that will drive growth.

She compared cryptocurrency with similar innovative enterprises such as Intel, Amazon, and Microsoft in the early days of internet stocks, noting that it took Amazon nine years to recover from its initial price high during the dotcom bubble, Intel 15 years, and Microsoft 17 years.

Such as these early internet stocks, Demirors said that the real traction for Bitcoin will come with time. The late 2017 price run can be put down to “fear of mission out” (FOMO), which caused a similar type of speculative bubble, she said. With that bubble burst, real businesses with real-life use applications are being developed in the space.

As she put it: “New technologies that shift the paradigm take a long time to really understand.”

This goes to what she described as a key issue right now in the lack of a coherent narrative from the cryptocurrency community. With institutional interest in the space growing, Demirors said that this could well be an opportune time for Bitcoin, but it is not being considered a store of value because of the poorly-relayed narrative.

Bitcoin (BTC) currently sits at USD 6,038.18 after struggling this year to make significant gains compared with last years highs of nearly USD 20,000.

 

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Pantera CEO: Investors Overreacting to SEC Delay on ETF

Crypto hedge fund Pantera Capital’s CEO Dan Morehead has said that investors have been pushed into a state of panic by the SEC’s delayed decision on Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Morehead said on Wednesday’s CNBC “Fast Money” that ETF wasn’t imminent, a view shared a week prior on the same show by Brian Kelly, who saw next year as the most likely date for approval rather than September. He commented:

“The main thing to remember is that Bitcoin is a very early-stage venture, but has real-time price feed — and that’s a unique thing. People get excited about the price and overreact… I still think it will be quite a long time until an ETF is approved. The last asset class to be approved for ETF certification was copper, and copper has been on earth for 10,000 years.”

The SEC has delayed another decision on approval of a Bitcoin ETF after several attempts by investors over the years to push one through. On the announcement of a delayed decision, Bitcoin lost further ground last week.

Morehead suggests that the new Bakkt project should be enough to hearten investors rather than to sell Bitcoin on the basis of a delayed decision. He explained:

“The ETF rejection is the same story we’ve had for five years. The SEC has been very cautious with an ETF… That’s huge news. That is going to be a very profound impact over the next five or 10 years for the markets, and, to my mind, that’s what people should be focused on.”

CNBC’s Fast Money regular Brian Kelly was the first to predict that an ETF was unlikely to happen this year, and is in total agreement with Morehead, arguing that a sell Bitcoin position is not the right one to be taking. He explained:

“It [Bitcoin] has had a tremendous run off of USD 5,800, and that was all really because people thought there was going to be a bitcoin ETF. The SEC came out and postponed that decision. A little spoiler alert, on September 30, SEC will likely postpone it again, because the market is not ready for it and the SEC hasn’t had the answers to their questions yet.”

 

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Brian Kelly Proclaims That Bakkt Is Biggest Crypto News of the Year

Hedge fund manager Brian Kelly, while appearing on CNBC’s Fast Money, has called Intercontinental Exchange’s announcement about its new Bakkt platform as the “biggest news of the year.”

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), recently announced that with the help of technology partner Microsoft, it was planning to launch a new digital asset platform called Bakkt.

ICE also owns 23 exchanges worldwide apart from the NYSE along with many futures exchanges and clearing houses.  Starbucks and Microsoft will be major partners of Bakkt and will begin accepting Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Bakkt is also planning on launching physically-settled Bitcoin futures by November 2018, which would be a mechanism for institutional investors worldwide to easily buy Bitcoin.

Kelly explained his “biggest news of the year” statement after rejecting that ETF would be approved by the SEC this year, suggesting that he’s not actually optimistic on them being approved in 2018, but the speculation surrounding them will maintain investor interest in Bitcoin regardless of the outcome.

He thinks that ICE’s move is better than Bitcoin futures due to its limitations, given that there are “a limited set of people that can trade it… And a lot of people use it for hedging.”

He recently stated that the last Bitcoin price boost following the CNBC announcement was here to stay, only to see the market drop again a week later. When asked if the ICE announcement might have more effect on prices and whether it would meet with success, he responded:

“Oh, yeah! Absolutely! I mean, they are talking about launching in November… They have been working on this in stealth mode for the last 14 months, they have already talked to regulators, they are ready to go.”

He put the lack of market response to “the biggest news of the year” down to time difference and that he expected there would be a response. Bitcoin at the time of writing is $7,473.89 (CMC). He suggested:

“Back in January, Bitcoin would have gone up 20% on this news. So, I think the bear market has just broken people’s spirit, frankly, and so people aren’t really looking for this… A lot of people I talked to today hadn’t seen the news–came out at 08:30 [UTC -04:00]–people hadn’t seen it till 2, 3 in the afternoon. So, the market is still digesting this, and remember most of Bitcoin trading happens in Asia; so, it was released at 08:30 this morning, that’s 09:30, 10:00 at night on a Friday night in Asia. [When] Asia wakes up, you might see this thing pop.”

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Spencer Bogart: Bitcoin Waiting for Trigger to Hit New Highs

Cryptocurrency hedge fund manager Spencer Bogart has weighed in on Bitcoin price speculation, saying he is waiting for any positive trigger to push the price of Bitcoin up.Featuring on CNBC’s Fast Money, Bogart shared that he has been encouraged by Bitcoin’s recent upward trend, believing that this will continue. He added that he thinks the pullback momentum has passed and he is now waiting for any catalyst to send it to new price highs. Bogart cited several possibilities for this including the current global currency and trade wars.

Foreseeing the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) rejection of the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), he noted that 2019 may be a more realistic time frame for this to happen. Despite this, Bogart sees several other vehicles already available for retail and institutional investors to enter the market, pointing out Coinbase’s exposure of retail companies, and firms such as Bitwise Asset Management’s outreach to institutional investors.

While naysayers may query specific price forecasts, predicting market swings is essential for investors looking to maximize profits.

Bitcoin has not surpassed USD 8,000 since May this year before it fell back to approximately USD 6,000. While many pundits have shared their expectations and predictions during this most recent upswing, Bitcoin’s valuation is still far from its top price of nearly USD 20,000 in December last year.

Calls for increased security

With many spectators such as Bogart sharing their price rise expectations, another rally is suspected to attract such bad actors as it did in 2017 when the number of hacks on cryptocurrency exchanges and sited increased sharply. While this is not surprising as the potential profits increase substantially for attackers, there has been a call for all investors to prioritize their security.

There is nothing to stop hackers from trying, but so long as investors and cryptocurrency service providers practice due diligence the majority of such attacks can be prevented, and it is indeed important to do so for the reputation of the industry.

 

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Nasdaq Talks Over the Future of Crypto in Private Meeting

Unconfirmed reports indicate that Nasdaq held a closed-door meeting with half a dozen various companies this weekend in order to discuss amongst other topics, the integration of cryptocurrency into global markets.

That the individuals behind the second largest stock exchange in the world (by market capitalization) should be discussing cryptocurrency at this stage is not surprising. Earlier this year the exchange suggested that it could foresee opening its own cryptocurrency exchange in the future.

During an interview with CNBC, Nasdaq President and CEO Adena T Friedman raised the idea that Nasdaq would consider venturing in the crypto sector. She remarked:

“Certainly, Nasdaq would consider becoming a crypto exchange over time…I believe that digital currencies will continue to persist it’s just a matter of how long it will take for that space to mature.”

The companies at this particular meeting were said to included prominent cryptocurrency firms such as the Winklevoss owned Gemini Exchange. The brothers appearing just days after their ETF proposals being rejected at the SEC.

Blomberg attempted to get further details but Nasdaq simply verified the meeting. However, the unnamed source suggested that topics discussed included regulation and tools to measure the development of the industry and the likelihood of the members at the meeting having further discussions soon.

Larger institutions have been far more prominent in discussing the cryptocurrency industry this year and banking institutions on Wall St are at various stages in addressing where to position themselves in the market. Of which, some of them like the Goldman Sachs have taken a proactive stance in this regard.

CNBC’s Brian Kelly suggests that the addition of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Goldman Sachs to the crypto status quo will cause the market to surge. Nasdaq President Freidman suggests waiting for cryptocurrencies to “mature,” but other major exchanges around the world are clearly thinking of making the move early.

Earlier this year Freidman said of cryptocurrencies

“I think the technology is fascinating and it’s a very sound technology. It’s just a matter of making sure that the community is all-embracing it together.”

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Bitcoin Still Best Bet, Says Wall St Crypto King

Bart Smith, Wall Street’s very own ‘Crypto King’, has said in an interview on CNBC’s Fast Money that Bitcoin is still the best option for crypto traders.

Smith, who launched a crypto desk which buys and sells millions of dollars in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, maintains this is primarily because people are out there using it. Therefore, its functionality makes it stand out from the range of available cryptocurrencies available today.

The head of the digital asset group at Susquehanna International Group remains upbeat on Bitcoin despite the falls of the last day. The future he says, is positive, recently suggesting that institutional investors will re-stimulate the cryptocurrency market once more regulatory clarity is provided. He commented:

“If you want to own the asset that you can actually use today and that people are functionally using, it’s Bitcoin… The use case for Bitcoin is valid today, which is the currency of the internet.”

He pointed out that cross-border exchanges using Bitcoin is a major use of the digital currency today. This makes it a significant usable medium of exchange.

Only recently, Alibaba Group’s Ant Financial reported that it intended to use blockchain technology to lower the cost of overseas payment after failing a bid to buy over MoneyGram. The Chinese multinational e-commerce conglomerate says the move will benefit the Filipino expatriate population of Hong Kong. They systematically send funds estimated to be HKD 4.4 billion (USD 561 million) annually back to families in the Philippines.

Talking of traditional cross-border payments, Smith argued:

“They use Western Union, traditional banks; It is slow and it is expensive… and there are people that can stop you from sending that money, whether that’s good or bad. With Bitcoin, I can send money. It’s fast. It’s cheap. And frankly, no one can stop me.”

As for other coins, Smith suggested that this may be the future but it isn’t now. He argues that new tokens will face difficulties establishing new “technological advancements”. Hence, despite the initial excitement, it will be Bitcoin that will be continued to be used for practical purposes.

 

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