Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors research institute, revealed on Thursday via Twitter new data provided by the group that predicts the price of Bitcoin will reach USD 36,000 by the end of 2019. The anticipated price inflation has been attributed to Bitcoin mining.
Fundstrat’s Quantamental Strategist Sam Doctor provided a breakdown of the correlation between the costs of Bitcoin mining, and the price of the cryptocurrency itself. The conclusive results from the study indicate that Bitcoin’s value will progress to somewhere between USD 20,000 and USD 64,000 by the end of 2019.
CRYPTO: Our quant/data scientist @fundstratQuant publishing #bitcoin mining white paper. Crypto mining economics lead/explain $BTC price—suggests $39,000 per bitcoin by YE19. key takeaways below… pic.twitter.com/f5ZQ4py3jS
— Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) May 10, 2018
Doctor’s calculations are predominantly focused on Bitcoin Price to Mining Breakeven Cost Metric, or P/BE, which is described in the executive summary posted by Lee above, as having a ”proven and reliable long-term support level”.’
Part of Doctor’s analysis focuses on the increasing energy efficiency of the mining network, and an escalation of large-scale operations over individual setups. The summary notes that in order stay competitive, it is becoming necessary for individual miners to join mining ”pools”, with the aggregate mining economy expected to grow.
However, it is possible that a material shift in the predicted route of hash power could alter the P/BE support level of Bitcoin’s value. This is noted as the main risks to Fundstrat’s thesis.
The trajectory outlined in the summary above falls in line will Lee’s personal prediction of Bitcoin’s year-end target reaching USD 25,000. Earlier this week, he elaborated on this by anticipating a Bitcoin price rise concurrent with the blockchain and digital currency Consensus Conference in Manhattan that begins Monday.
Last month the 17 millionth Bitcoin was mined, meaning there is less than 20% left to uncover. Bitcoin’s scarcity is a valuable asset in increasing the value of the cryptocurrency. With 21 million Bitcoins in total, the exact year suggested for the final to be mined is 2140.
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